38 of US Economists Say br a Recession Will Happen Next Year.br The news comes from a recent survey by the National Association br for Business Economics.br The 38 is a small drop from a previous survey earlier this year in which 42 of economists believed a recession would happen in 2020.br The most recent poll took place br from July 14 to August 1 and br involved over 225 participants.br It happened before a series of events involving America's ongoing br trade battle with China.br They include the White House accusing the Chinese government of being a "currency manipulator.".br According to the latest survey, only 5 of economists believe the U.S. and China will reach a br comprehensive deal in the future.br Despite the trade conflict, the United States' economy has remained resilient thus far, with the br unemployment rate still very low at 3.