Former President Donald Trump has surpassed Vice President Kamala Harris in a latest election poll for the current cycle.br br What Happened: The Decision Desk HQThe Hill forecast model now gives Trump a 52 chance of winning the presidency, compared to Harris’s 42, according to a report from The Hill. This is a significant shift from late August when Harris was leading with a 54 to 56 chance, and Trump was trailing with a 44 to 46 chance.